StarGridiron Benter — Edge Board

Bill-Benter-style college football value board · normal-margin points model vs the market · the XO recommends, the Captain wagers

How to read it. Model = recency-weighted point power ratings (last ~5 games points for & against, regressed toward the FBS baseline) run through a normal-margin model; Market = season baseline (live book odds via CDP are the next tap). Moneyline shows the model’s most-likely winner with win% & EV; Spread and Over/Under show model% vs market% and the edge. BACK = model sees value · FADE = market overprices the pick · PASS = no edge. Sorted BACK-first by EV/edge.

Game	Pick	Model%	Market%	Fair Odds	Edge	EV	Kelly%	Call
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Game	Pick	Model%	Market%	Fair Odds	Edge	EV	Call
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Game	Pick	Model%	Market%	Fair Odds	Edge	EV	Call
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Ledger

Placed	Market	Pick	Stake	Odds	Status	Payout
no wagers logged — the Captain places, the board tracks

🏈 StarGridiron Benter — Edge Board

Moneyline — winner value

Spread — points handicap

Over / Under — total points

Ledger